by Calculated Risk on 1/06/2024 08:11:00 AM

The key reports this week are December CPI and the November trade deficit.

----- Monday, January 8th -----
No major economic releases scheduled.

----- Tuesday, January 9th -----
6:00 AM: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for December.

8:30 AM: Trade Balance report for November from the Census Bureau.

This graph shows the U.S. trade deficit, with and without petroleum, through the most recent report. The blue line is the total deficit, and the black line is the petroleum deficit, and the red line is the trade deficit ex-petroleum products.

The consensus is the trade deficit to be $65.0 billion.  The U.S. trade deficit was at $64.3 billion in October.

----- Wednesday, January 10th -----
7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.

----- Thursday, January 11th -----
8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released.  The consensus is for 215 thousand, up from 202 thousand.

8:30 AM: The Consumer Price Index for December from the BLS. The consensus is for 0.2% increase in CPI, and a 0.2% increase in core CPI.  The consensus is for CPI to be up 3.2% year-over-year and core CPI to be up 3.9% YoY.

----- Friday, January 12th -----
8:30 AM ET: The Producer Price Index for December from the BLS. The consensus is for a 0.1% increase in PPI, and a 0.2% increase in core PPI.