by Calculated Risk on 3/25/2024 01:47:00 PM

From WardsAuto: March U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales Tracking a Steady Course with Potential Upside (pay content).  Brief excerpt:

If the March forecast holds firm, the first quarter will total a 15.5 million-unit seasonally adjusted annual rate, down from Q4-2023’s 15.7 million but up from like-2023’s 15.0 million. However, the forecasted steady climb in inventory should put sales in good stead to rise above 16-million-unit annualized rates for most of the remainder of 2024.
emphasis added

Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows actual sales from the BEA (Blue), and Wards forecast for March (Red).

On a seasonally adjusted annual rate basis, the Wards forecast of 15.6 million SAAR, would be down 1% from last month, and up 5% from a year ago.