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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Approaching All-Time High but US Economic Momentum Slowing

Carson Wealth

US LEI Deteriorates Right now, our proprietary US Leading Economic Index (LEI) is telling us that economic momentum is slowing and the economy is growing below trend. This was in sharp contrast to all the recession calls you saw in 2022 and 2023, including signals from other popular leading economic indicators.

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Market Commentary: Sentiment Remains Extreme as Fed Warns of Risks

Carson Wealth

The Fed Is Caught Between a Rock and a Cold Hard and Lonely Place Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave us the most detailed description of how the Fed is thinking about policy in the face of massive tariffs in a speech at the Economic Club of Chicago on Wednesday, April 16. to above 4.6% (thankfully, it didn’t go higher than 4.2%).

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Market Commentary: Strong Jobs Report Gets the “Good News Is Bad News” Treatment

Carson Wealth

While there are reasons for recent declines, we view it in part as a perfectly normal pause after the gains of 2023 and 2024. million in 2023 but well in the ballpark of what we saw in 2017-2019 (2.1 It was strong even in 2022 and 2023, which was another clue that a recession wasnt imminent. on Friday alone. Thats up from 3.7%

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GIFT City: India’s Strategic Gateway to Global Finance

International College of Financial Planning

Introduction to GIFT City and Its Legal-Economic Status The Gujarat International Finance Tech-City, commonly referred to as GIFT City, is a landmark initiative by the Government of India aimed at creating a world-class financial centre within the country.

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Market Commentary: Good Riddance February, Hello March

Carson Wealth

It is also the first time the S&P 500 is negative (although only down 1%) over three calendar months since October 2023. Given our overall still positive economic backdrop, to see this much worry in the air is actually rather bullish and why we dont expect the recent weakness to spiral out of control. on an annualized basis).

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Market Commentary: Seasonal Tailwinds Ahead, but First an Election

Carson Wealth

Between mid-2023 and mid-2024, we saw the unemployment rate move higher even as payroll growth remained fairly strong. If economic growth is expected to be strong, there’s presumably less reason for the Fed to cut rates by a lot. But there’s a lot more going on below the surface. But those numbers are backward looking.

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Market Commentary: Some Favorite Charts from 2024 and a New Congress Is Sworn In

Carson Wealth

As you can see below, over the course of the year, we went from a largely inverted yield curve at the end of 2023 (short-term rates higher than long-term rates) to a normally sloped curve at the end of 2024 (higher long-term rates). That change tells a lot of the economic story for the year.