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Question #1 for 2025: How much will the economy grow in 2025? Will there be a recession in 2025?

Calculated Risk

How much will the economy grow in 2025? A year ago, I argued that "the economy will avoid recession" in 2024, and that a soft landing was the likely outcome. Here are the Ten Economic Questions for 2025 and a few predictions: Question #1 for 2025: How much will the economy grow in 2025? Or will the economy lose jobs?

Economy 173
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At the Money: Austan Goolsbee, Chicago Fed President on Tariffs, Inflation and Monetary Policy

The Big Picture

Look, this, this is a t tangled, uh, this is a tangled web, uh, that is critically important to, to the economy. Um, and so I, I think in a higher rate environment, if you’re trying to cool the economy, this is always true. Now, in the 2020s, we have a primarily fiscally driven economy, or at least post pandemic.

Economy 159
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Market Commentary: Strong Jobs Report Gets the “Good News Is Bad News” Treatment

Carson Wealth

Good news can be bad news in the short run, but a solid economy usually becomes good news again once we get past the initial market reaction. If the underlying economy is sound, pullbacks like this can actually be a positive for the longer-term health of the market. The economy created over 2 million jobs in 2024, down from 2.4

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Chart of the Day – Ignoring Political Noise

Discipline Funds

During periods where Democrats were in total control the economy performed better, but the markets performed worse. And during periods of total Republican control the economy did worse and the markets performed better. The point here is that the markets and the economy don’t really care about politics.

Economy 59
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Market Commentary: Swift Election Results Boost Investors’ Confidence

Carson Wealth

It is the most for a Republican President since 1988, but it trails the 365 (2008) and 332 (2012) President Obama won in his two elections. How the economy is doing, Fed policy, inflation, valuations and overall market trends potentially matter much more. The services sector (which makes up more than 60% of our economy) is very strong.

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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Makes a New All-Time High, and a Look at Housing

Carson Wealth

The Case-Shiller National home price index declined by a cumulative 26% between 2007 and 2012—it’s unlikely we see anything of that magnitude in this cycle. The NASDAQ 100 Index includes publicly-traded companies from most sectors in the global economy, the major exception being financial services.

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The Broken Clock Investor: Always Warning, Rarely Winning

Dear Mr. Market

Peter Schiff Gold Bug and Fed Critic Extraordinaire Ongoing theme : Hyperinflation is coming, the dollar will collapse, and the Fed is destroying the economy. Bearish since : 2012 and vocal throughout the longest bull market in U.S. Media presence : Regular guest on business networks despite a decade of missed market gains.

Media 59