Remove 2008 Remove Compliance Remove Economy
article thumbnail

Market Commentary: S&P 500 Approaching All-Time High but US Economic Momentum Slowing

Carson Wealth

Other years that saw big returns after down days were 2003, 2008, 2009, 2020, and of course now. Yes, 2008 was a horrible year for stocks, but those other three years all were solid years after hiccups in the first quarter. Since 1980, only 2020 would be better than 2025 so far. But pop the hood and there’s cause for concern.

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Seasonal Tailwinds Ahead, but First an Election

Carson Wealth

If the economy remains strong (as we expect), that would matter much more than just about anything else. The last time the S&P 500 fell more than 1% in November was in 2008, and it has been higher 11 of the past 12 years. on average, well above the 7.1% average seen in all years. It is actually higher for non-managerial employees.)

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Good Riddance February, Hello March

Carson Wealth

Good Riddance, February The second half of February was rough, as worries over the economy, tariffs, and large cap tech weakness dominated the conversation. We continue to think the bull market is alive and well and the economy is on solid footing, but that doesnt mean we wont have scary headlines or worries. Heres the thing.

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Swift Election Results Boost Investors’ Confidence

Carson Wealth

It is the most for a Republican President since 1988, but it trails the 365 (2008) and 332 (2012) President Obama won in his two elections. How the economy is doing, Fed policy, inflation, valuations and overall market trends potentially matter much more. The services sector (which makes up more than 60% of our economy) is very strong.

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: S&P 500 Makes a New All-Time High, and a Look at Housing

Carson Wealth

That’s one reason why the 2008–2009 recession was as bad as it was—households were much more levered and when unemployment rose and home prices fell, everything crashed. The greater the leverage, the harder the crash (like in 2008-2009). It was 101% at the end of 2019, and 137% just before the financial crisis in 2007.

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Better Times May Be Ahead Despite the Market’s Reaction to the Last Fed Meeting of the Year

Carson Wealth

Notably, there was no SCR in 2000 and 2008, not the best times for investors, and potentially a major warning that something wasnt right. In short, the economy and markets are looking at elevated interest rates over the next two years. These long-term interest rates matter a lot for the economy.

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Markets Perk Up but Macro Outlook Still Messy

Carson Wealth

But what if demand craters across the economy and you’re stuck with goods you can’t sell? Congress also provides a cushion for the economy by raising deficits even further via tax cuts. Still, the economy chugs along around 1-2% real GDP growth. Do you keep hiring? Do you let people go to raise cashflow?